Loss of contact with aircraft during flight in icing conditions

Casualties unknown • Julian, CA, US

An aircraft disappeared from radar after the pilot reported an inability to maintain assigned altitude while flying through forecasted rime icing and thunderstorms.

What happened

A pilot, who was not instrument rated, filed an IFR flight plan without first obtaining a weather briefing. The forecast for the area included light to moderate rime icing between 5,000 and 16,000 feet.

At 15:41, the ARTCC controller observed that the Mode C altitude report was descending and 1,300 feet lower than the assigned altitude of 10,000 feet. When questioned by the controller, the pilot stated, "I cannot maintain altitude." Radio and radar contact with the aircraft were lost at 15:43.

At the time of the accident, a ground witness reported an overhead thunderstorm characterized by lightning, thunder, hail, and moderate rain and snow showers. The witness also reported hearing a loud sound described as a "winding up engine sound" followed by a large bang. Additionally, an airline flight operating in the vicinity of the accident site reported encountering moderate rime ice.

Findings

The last recorded test and calibration of the pitot-static system occurred on July 8, 1986. During the first six months of 1986, the pilot had completed approximately 44 hours of dual instrument training.

Frequently asked questions

What happened in the 1989-02-12 Piper PA-24-260 accident near Julian, CA?

An aircraft disappeared from radar after the pilot reported an inability to maintain assigned altitude while flying through forecasted rime icing and thunderstorms.

What aircraft was involved and where did it happen?

The accident on 1989-02-12 involved a Piper PA-24-260, registration N9240P, at Julian, CA.

What was the probable cause of the accident?

THE PILOT'S POOR JUDGEMENT OF INTENTIONALLY FLYING INTO AN AREA OF KNOWN FORECAST ICING CONDITIONS WHICH RESULTED IN A LOSS OF CONTROL AND AN INFLIGHT BREAKUP OF THE AIRCRAFT. CONTRIBUTING FACTORS WERE THE PILOT'S OVERCONFIDENCE IN HIS PERSONAL ABILITY BY ATTEMPTING FLIGHT INTO INSTRUMENT METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS,…

Investigation report by the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) historical archive. Original record: https://carol.ntsb.gov/event/20001213X27740. This page is a structured re-presentation; facts and quotes are in the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB), United States.

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