Turbulence · updated every 6 hours

Will my flight be bumpy?

Mexico City → Milano · clear-air turbulence at cruise altitude.

Mexico CityMilano

MEXMXP

Ride comfort
6.2
Light chop expected
Distance
9,776
km, great circle
Cruise band
FL340–400
typical for this stage length
Model run
6h
GFS 2026082012Z
01 / FLIGHT PROFILE

Where the bumps sit

Smooth climb-out. Expect roughly 5¾ hours of strong turbulence in the later part of the cruise. Expect a few more bumps on the way down.

  • Smooth
  • Light
  • Moderate
  • Severe

Ellrod turbulence index from the GFS 2026082012Z forecast cycle (~6h old), sampled along the great-circle route at FL340–400. One forecast per route per model run — not per flight or departure time.

Flying this route?

MEXMXPAdd the airline and we will pull the safety brief for that flight.

04 / IF YOU'RE A NERVOUS FLYER

The numbers are on your side

Built for worse

Airliner wings are certified to survive loads far beyond anything the atmosphere produces, and are tested to the point of structural failure well past that. Turbulence is uncomfortable, not structurally dangerous.

Your seatbelt

Turbulence injuries overwhelmingly involve people who were not belted in. Keeping the belt fastened while seated removes nearly all of the risk.

Routine, not rare

Crews meet chop on ordinary days and plan around the worst of it. What feels like a long stretch of bumps is usually a few minutes.

How we build this data →

05 / ELSEWHERE

More turbulence data

Live turbulence map

Prefer the big picture? The world map shows forecast clear-air turbulence at cruise altitude everywhere at once.

Open the live map →

Flying soon? Look up the flight itself

The forecast above is the sky. Search an aircraft, airline or airport to see the record of what actually flies it.

Or look up the record behind it:

Was your flight delayed 3+ hours, cancelled, or overbooked? You may be owed up to €600.

Check my compensationKnow your rights →

Affiliate link — we may earn a commission, at no extra cost to you.