Business jet transactions forecast to reach $247 billion by 2030

Global Jet Capital projects $247 billion in new and pre-owned business jet transactions between 2026 and 2030, with heavy jets leading demand.

Global business jet transactions, covering new and pre-owned aircraft, are projected to total $247 billion between 2026 and the end of 2030, according to Global Jet Capital. The business aviation finance firm published the figure in its sixth annual Business Jet Market Forecast on September 14, 2026.

The projection comes from an econometric top-down model and implies average annualized growth of 4.1 percent over the five-year period.

Deliveries are expected to rise across all size categories. Demand for heavy jets is growing fastest. Global Jet Capital said buyers are favoring greater range and capacity, and it expects transaction volume for new heavy jets to increase 3.3 percent and for pre-owned heavy jets 4.9 percent.

North America is expected to remain the largest market for business jets. Latin America is projected second, while Europe stays an important market for new aircraft.

The company attributed the expected growth to rising order backlogs, resilient economic growth and continued wealth creation worldwide. Andrew Farrant, its chief marketing officer, said demand has strengthened alongside flight activity, which began rising in the fourth quarter of 2024 and continued through 2026, up 3.4 percent year over year in the first six months.

Farrant said manufacturers are expected to steadily increase deliveries to work through high backlogs, though lead times will remain long. That, he said, will push buyers with immediate needs toward the pre-owned market. He added that the overall number of transactions is expected to rise 3.6 percent.

Sources

  • aerotime.aeroBusiness jet deals set to near quarter-trillion dollars over the next five years